Para já, férias. O futuro a Deus pertence
Pieter van de Graaf PhD, eHealth Division, Scottish Government.
The biggest challenges for health of the UK population in 2040 will not concern particular diseases or conditions but the much more fundamental issues of how and by whom health care decisions will be made. By 2040, consultations and hospitalisations will be rarer due to limited health care resources and staff, and a significant increase in average age and life expectancy. As a result, the future will be dominated by self-care. Supported by technology and related skills, patients will be in almost full control, will primarily be self-diagnosing their health issues and carrying out self-treatment. With self-monitoring of almost all aspects of personal health and wellbeing commonplace, there will be a deluge of patient-related data. The way in which doctors decide on how to advise or treat those patients they still see in person will fundamentally change. On the one hand, IT will be easing almost all clinical decisions but, on the other, any advice will be fully scrutinised by patients who will be much more medically literate and have access to at least the same information and data as the health service. The reliance on technology will become a major issue for certain patients. Health professionals will need to focus on those (combinations of) diseases and conditions which the IT programmers will have been unable to tackle. In addition, they will remain involved with those patients who cannot make their own decisions, or those who have been told by their app that their best medicine is... a human touch.
The Lancet 14 href=agosto 2015 link
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